Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Geelong WHOME · -

85 : 742023.05.06 · 종료

Mt. Gambier WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY60.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +60.3%

VALUE EDGE+60.3%

FAIR ODDS1.66

GRADEA

Geelong WAnalysis MetricsMt. Gambier W

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better +10.42

152.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.75

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.4 / 15

Prediction separation8.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

60.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Geelong W

L · 68-81W · 61-90W · 92-89L · 86-89L · 60-51

Mt. Gambier W

L · 77-87W · 90-59W · 63-86W · 105-70W · 69-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.21	Mt. Gambier W	76 : 86	Geelong W
2023.06.23	Mt. Gambier W	94 : 59	Geelong W
2023.05.06	Geelong W	85 : 74	Mt. Gambier W
2022.07.31	Geelong W	72 : 73	Mt. Gambier W
2021.07.09	Geelong W	80 : 75	Mt. Gambier W