Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Mt. Gambier WHOME · -

77 : 872023.04.29 · 종료

Ringwood WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY69.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +69.0%

VALUE EDGE+69.0%

FAIR ODDS1.45

GRADEB

Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsRingwood W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+10.42 Point MarginHigher is better +6.67

161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.33

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

31.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

69.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt. Gambier W

W · 90-59W · 63-86W · 105-70W · 69-87W · 74-78

Ringwood W

W · 67-52W · 77-66W · 84-75W · 65-78L · 81-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.28	Mt. Gambier W	74 : 72	Ringwood W
2023.06.17	Ringwood W	99 : 77	Mt. Gambier W
2023.04.29	Mt. Gambier W	77 : 87	Ringwood W
2022.08.20	Ringwood W	77 : 71	Mt. Gambier W
2022.05.14	Ringwood W	62 : 55	Mt. Gambier W
2021.05.01	Mt. Gambier W	45 : 89	Ringwood W