Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Launceston WHOME · -

83 : 762023.04.29 · 종료

Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY15.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +84.9%

VALUE EDGE+84.9%

FAIR ODDS1.18

GRADES

Launceston WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

-3.75 Point MarginHigher is better -19.67

150.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.83

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

84.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

15.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Launceston W

W · 96-58L · 66-75L · 105-80L · 84-77W · 92-53

Melbourne Tigers W

L · 82-51L · 80-72W · 88-71W · 52-81L · 78-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.29	Launceston W	83 : 76	Melbourne Tigers W
2022.06.19	Melbourne Tigers W	65 : 79	Launceston W
2019.06.28	Launceston W	79 : 87	Melbourne Tigers W
2017.05.13	Melbourne Tigers W	61 : 98	Launceston W
2017.04.08	Launceston W	96 : 85	Melbourne Tigers W