Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Geelong WHOME · -
68 : 812023.04.29 · 종료
Frankston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.4%
VALUE EDGE+73.4%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsFrankston W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+8.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.17
152.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.50
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
W · 61-90W · 92-89L · 86-89L · 60-51L · 65-77
Frankston W
W · 85-76W · 68-64L · 63-86L · 63-86W · 65-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.01 | Frankston W | 69 : 78 | Geelong W |
| 2023.04.29 | Geelong W | 68 : 81 | Frankston W |
| 2022.05.28 | Geelong W | 86 : 56 | Frankston W |
| 2021.05.22 | Geelong W | 75 : 80 | Frankston W |
| 2019.04.12 | Frankston W | 65 : 64 | Geelong W |
| 2017.05.13 | Frankston W | 56 : 88 | Geelong W |
| 2016.08.20 | Geelong W | 72 : 53 | Frankston W |
| 2016.06.25 | Geelong W | 73 : 65 | Frankston W |
| 2016.04.16 | Frankston W | 63 : 78 | Geelong W |
| 2015.05.10 | Geelong W | 85 : 63 | Frankston W |