Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Hobart Chargers WHOME · -

82 : 512023.04.28 · 종료

Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY35.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +64.1%

VALUE EDGE+64.1%

FAIR ODDS1.56

GRADEA

Hobart Chargers WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

-5.75 Point MarginHigher is better -19.67

158.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.83

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.7 / 15

Prediction separation12.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

64.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

35.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hobart Chargers W

L · 59-74W · 55-42L · 84-75L · 79-65L · 92-53

Melbourne Tigers W

L · 80-72W · 88-71W · 52-81L · 78-86L · 79-54

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.28	Hobart Chargers W	82 : 51	Melbourne Tigers W
2022.05.15	Melbourne Tigers W	69 : 51	Hobart Chargers W
2021.05.02	Melbourne Tigers W	109 : 87	Hobart Chargers W
2017.07.08	Melbourne Tigers W	83 : 80	Hobart Chargers W
2017.04.07	Hobart Chargers W	62 : 57	Melbourne Tigers W