Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Mt. Gambier WHOME · -
90 : 592023.04.22 · 종료
Keilor Thunder WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.4%
VALUE EDGE+67.4%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.92
161.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation14.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt. Gambier W
W · 63-86W · 105-70W · 69-87W · 74-78L · 77-71
Keilor Thunder W
L · 52-81W · 64-54L · 60-81L · 64-58W · 91-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.22 | Mt. Gambier W | 90 : 59 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.05.15 | Keilor Thunder W | 60 : 93 | Mt. Gambier W |