Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Launceston WHOME · -
96 : 582023.04.22 · 종료
Ballarat WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.5%
VALUE EDGE+61.5%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADES
Launceston WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.42
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.75
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Launceston W
L · 66-75L · 105-80L · 84-77W · 92-53W · 68-79
Ballarat W
L · 55-42L · 95-51L · 64-54L · 64-95W · 79-54
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.17 | Ballarat W | 73 : 82 | Launceston W |
| 2023.04.22 | Launceston W | 96 : 58 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.07.24 | Ballarat W | 72 : 89 | Launceston W |
| 2021.04.24 | Launceston W | 92 : 61 | Ballarat W |
| 2019.05.25 | Ballarat W | 130 : 94 | Launceston W |
| 2017.07.30 | Ballarat W | 90 : 74 | Launceston W |
| 2017.06.03 | Launceston W | 81 : 74 | Ballarat W |
| 2016.05.28 | Launceston W | 81 : 74 | Ballarat W |
| 2016.05.07 | Ballarat W | 58 : 53 | Launceston W |
| 2015.05.30 | Launceston W | 91 : 71 | Ballarat W |