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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia
Dandenong Rangers WHOME · -
80 : 722023.04.22 · 종료
Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Dandenong Rangers WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-1.58 Point MarginHigher is better -19.67
155.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.83
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong Rangers W
L · 68-81W · 79-65L · 85-58W · 77-67L · 84-46
Melbourne Tigers W
W · 88-71W · 52-81L · 78-86L · 79-54L · 59-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.22Dandenong Rangers W80 : 72Melbourne Tigers W
2022.07.31Melbourne Tigers W57 : 76Dandenong Rangers W
2021.05.16Melbourne Tigers W77 : 70Dandenong Rangers W