Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
61 : 902023.04.22 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME28.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.1%
VALUE EDGE+71.1%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 70-100L · 95-89L · 105-70L · 77-67L · 68-72
Geelong W
W · 92-89L · 86-89L · 60-51L · 65-77W · 68-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.22 | Casey Cavaliers W | 61 : 90 | Geelong W |
| 2022.08.14 | Casey Cavaliers W | 68 : 72 | Geelong W |