Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Geelong WHOME · -
92 : 892023.04.21 · 종료
Sandringham WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.9%
VALUE EDGE+64.9%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsSandringham W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+8.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.00
152.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.33
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation12.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
L · 86-89L · 60-51L · 65-77W · 68-72W · 65-72
Sandringham W
W · 95-89W · 72-87L · 65-76L · 74-78L · 68-97
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.21 | Geelong W | 92 : 89 | Sandringham W |
| 2022.07.02 | Sandringham W | 72 : 87 | Geelong W |
| 2021.06.26 | Geelong W | 94 : 71 | Sandringham W |
| 2019.06.29 | Sandringham W | 59 : 68 | Geelong W |
| 2017.07.29 | Sandringham W | 70 : 83 | Geelong W |
| 2017.07.21 | Geelong W | 86 : 82 | Sandringham W |
| 2016.06.19 | Sandringham W | 72 : 77 | Geelong W |
| 2016.05.27 | Geelong W | 92 : 53 | Sandringham W |
| 2015.05.03 | Sandringham W | 79 : 83 | Geelong W |