Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Hobart Chargers WHOME · -
55 : 422023.04.21 · 종료
Ballarat WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY73.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+73.9%
VALUE EDGE+73.9%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
Hobart Chargers WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.42
158.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.75
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers W
L · 84-75L · 79-65L · 92-53L · 67-76L · 74-83
Ballarat W
L · 95-51L · 64-54L · 64-95W · 79-54L · 87-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.21 | Hobart Chargers W | 55 : 42 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.06.18 | Ballarat W | 87 : 63 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2021.04.23 | Hobart Chargers W | 61 : 62 | Ballarat W |
| 2017.06.17 | Ballarat W | 73 : 63 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2017.06.04 | Hobart Chargers W | 69 : 87 | Ballarat W |
| 2016.06.04 | Ballarat W | 80 : 69 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2015.05.29 | Hobart Chargers W | 74 : 63 | Ballarat W |