Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Launceston WHOME · -

66 : 752023.04.21 · 종료

Knox WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY49.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +50.9%

VALUE EDGE+50.9%

FAIR ODDS1.96

GRADEA

Launceston WAnalysis MetricsKnox W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-3.75 Point MarginHigher is better -5.08

150.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.08

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

5.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.4 / 15

Prediction separation0.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

50.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

49.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Launceston W

L · 105-80L · 84-77W · 92-53W · 68-79W · 65-77

Knox W

W · 68-60L · 69-76W · 60-81L · 68-83W · 64-58

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.01	Knox W	55 : 57	Launceston W
2023.04.21	Launceston W	66 : 75	Knox W
2022.07.15	Launceston W	92 : 50	Knox W
2019.06.22	Launceston W	63 : 95	Knox W