Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
88 : 712023.04.20 · 종료
Nunawading WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME15.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY84.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+84.8%
VALUE EDGE+84.8%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsNunawading W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-19.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.83
143.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.17
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
W · 52-81L · 78-86L · 79-54L · 59-72L · 72-56
Nunawading W
W · 95-51W · 69-76L · 69-87L · 68-79L · 91-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | Nunawading W | 77 : 60 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2023.04.20 | Melbourne Tigers W | 88 : 71 | Nunawading W |
| 2022.08.13 | Nunawading W | 72 : 56 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2022.05.08 | Melbourne Tigers W | 48 : 85 | Nunawading W |
| 2021.05.23 | Melbourne Tigers W | 89 : 66 | Nunawading W |
| 2019.06.16 | Nunawading W | 75 : 66 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2017.07.29 | Nunawading W | 75 : 70 | Melbourne Tigers W |