Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Frankston WHOME · -

63 : 862023.04.16 · 종료

Mt. Gambier WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY73.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +73.6%

VALUE EDGE+73.6%

FAIR ODDS1.36

GRADEA

Frankston WAnalysis MetricsMt. Gambier W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+4.17 Point MarginHigher is better +10.42

147.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.75

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

26.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

73.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Frankston W

L · 63-86W · 65-76L · 57-56W · 59-72W · 72-69

Mt. Gambier W

W · 105-70W · 69-87W · 74-78L · 77-71L · 70-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.16	Frankston W	63 : 86	Mt. Gambier W
2022.06.04	Frankston W	65 : 81	Mt. Gambier W
2022.04.30	Mt. Gambier W	73 : 66	Frankston W