Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Bendigo WHOME · -
105 : 802023.04.16 · 종료
Launceston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Bendigo WAnalysis MetricsLaunceston W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-8.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.75
161.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bendigo W
W · 86-89W · 64-95W · 57-56L · 73-89W · 79-76
Launceston W
L · 84-77W · 92-53W · 68-79W · 65-77W · 67-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.16 | Bendigo W | 105 : 80 | Launceston W |
| 2022.05.28 | Launceston W | 66 : 73 | Bendigo W |
| 2019.04.27 | Bendigo W | 105 : 83 | Launceston W |
| 2017.08.26 | Bendigo W | 91 : 80 | Launceston W |
| 2017.07.29 | Bendigo W | 75 : 69 | Launceston W |
| 2017.05.06 | Launceston W | 78 : 98 | Bendigo W |
| 2016.07.16 | Launceston W | 74 : 70 | Bendigo W |
| 2016.04.17 | Bendigo W | 59 : 77 | Launceston W |
| 2015.07.18 | Launceston W | 53 : 80 | Bendigo W |
| 2015.07.10 | Bendigo W | 55 : 61 | Launceston W |