Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Eltham WHOME · -

84 : 772023.04.15 · 종료

Launceston WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY56.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +56.2%

VALUE EDGE+56.2%

FAIR ODDS1.78

GRADEA

Eltham WAnalysis MetricsLaunceston W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better -3.75

151.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 150.58

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation5.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

43.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

56.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Eltham W

L · 84-73W · 84-46W · 68-97L · 68-87L · 59-76

Launceston W

W · 92-53W · 68-79W · 65-77W · 67-76L · 76-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.27	Launceston W	61 : 97	Eltham W
2023.04.15	Eltham W	84 : 77	Launceston W
2022.07.09	Eltham W	78 : 82	Launceston W
2021.05.22	Eltham W	88 : 92	Launceston W
2021.05.08	Launceston W	73 : 86	Eltham W
2019.05.05	Eltham W	94 : 80	Launceston W