Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Keilor Thunder WHOME · -
52 : 812023.04.15 · 종료
Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME83.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+83.8%
VALUE EDGE+83.8%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEA
Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-7.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-19.67
143.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder W
W · 64-54L · 60-81L · 64-58W · 91-65L · 65-72
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 78-86L · 79-54L · 59-72L · 72-56L · 59-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.15 | Keilor Thunder W | 52 : 81 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2022.07.10 | Melbourne Tigers W | 73 : 85 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.06.04 | Keilor Thunder W | 72 : 78 | Melbourne Tigers W |