Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Nunawading WHOME · -
95 : 512023.04.15 · 종료
Ballarat WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.9%
VALUE EDGE+54.9%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
Nunawading WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.42
152.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation4.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nunawading W
W · 69-76L · 69-87L · 68-79L · 91-73W · 72-56
Ballarat W
L · 64-54L · 64-95W · 79-54L · 87-96W · 54-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.15 | Nunawading W | 95 : 51 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.07.30 | Nunawading W | 70 : 59 | Ballarat W |
| 2021.07.03 | Ballarat W | 72 : 95 | Nunawading W |
| 2019.03.30 | Nunawading W | 89 : 68 | Ballarat W |
| 2017.05.13 | Nunawading W | 62 : 48 | Ballarat W |
| 2016.06.25 | Nunawading W | 78 : 75 | Ballarat W |
| 2016.05.21 | Ballarat W | 67 : 77 | Nunawading W |
| 2015.08.08 | Ballarat W | 66 : 58 | Nunawading W |
| 2015.05.02 | Nunawading W | 69 : 46 | Ballarat W |