Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Geelong WHOME · -
86 : 892023.04.15 · 종료
Bendigo WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.0%
VALUE EDGE+67.0%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsBendigo W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+8.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.33
152.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.17
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
L · 60-51L · 65-77W · 68-72W · 65-72L · 49-67
Bendigo W
W · 64-95W · 57-56L · 73-89W · 79-76W · 91-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | Bendigo W | 92 : 75 | Geelong W |
| 2023.04.15 | Geelong W | 86 : 89 | Bendigo W |
| 2022.07.01 | Geelong W | 70 : 92 | Bendigo W |
| 2022.05.01 | Bendigo W | 78 : 73 | Geelong W |
| 2019.08.11 | Geelong W | 83 : 80 | Bendigo W |
| 2019.07.20 | Geelong W | 58 : 88 | Bendigo W |
| 2019.05.12 | Bendigo W | 95 : 111 | Geelong W |
| 2017.09.02 | Geelong W | 76 : 67 | Bendigo W |
| 2017.07.15 | Bendigo W | 65 : 89 | Geelong W |
| 2017.05.20 | Geelong W | 87 : 61 | Bendigo W |