Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Mt. Gambier WHOME · -
105 : 702023.04.14 · 종료
Casey Cavaliers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.7%
VALUE EDGE+55.7%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.50
161.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.67
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
12.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation4.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt. Gambier W
W · 69-87W · 74-78L · 77-71L · 70-64L · 54-69
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 77-67L · 68-72L · 91-65W · 85-60W · 105-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.14 | Mt. Gambier W | 105 : 70 | Casey Cavaliers W |
| 2022.05.07 | Casey Cavaliers W | 86 : 88 | Mt. Gambier W |