Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Keilor Thunder WHOME · -

64 : 542023.04.14 · 종료

Ballarat WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY53.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +53.4%

VALUE EDGE+53.4%

FAIR ODDS1.87

GRADEA

Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-7.92 Point MarginHigher is better -10.42

143.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.75

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

12.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.2 / 15

Prediction separation2.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

46.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

53.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Keilor Thunder W

L · 60-81L · 64-58W · 91-65L · 65-72L · 92-82

Ballarat W

L · 64-95W · 79-54L · 87-96W · 54-69W · 59-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.14	Keilor Thunder W	64 : 54	Ballarat W
2022.07.09	Ballarat W	89 : 79	Keilor Thunder W
2022.05.28	Keilor Thunder W	85 : 75	Ballarat W