Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
78 : 862023.04.13 · 종료
Waverley WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME16.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY83.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+83.1%
VALUE EDGE+83.1%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADES
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsWaverley W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-19.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.92
143.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.08
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
62.5%
12.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
11.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 79-54L · 59-72L · 72-56L · 59-85L · 100-52
Waverley W
W · 81-72L · 79-76W · 68-83W · 70-64W · 53-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.02 | Waverley W | 84 : 50 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2023.04.13 | Melbourne Tigers W | 78 : 86 | Waverley W |
| 2022.07.17 | Waverley W | 71 : 50 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2019.04.13 | Waverley W | 69 : 72 | Melbourne Tigers W |