Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Keilor Thunder WHOME · -

60 : 812023.04.02 · 종료

Knox WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY59.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +59.1%

VALUE EDGE+59.1%

FAIR ODDS1.69

GRADEB

Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsKnox W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-7.92 Point MarginHigher is better -5.08

143.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.08

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.1 / 15

Prediction separation7.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

40.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

59.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Keilor Thunder W

L · 64-58W · 91-65L · 65-72L · 92-82W · 76-46

Knox W

L · 68-83W · 64-58W · 64-66W · 68-75W · 94-42

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.06.17	Knox W	89 : 58	Keilor Thunder W
2023.04.02	Keilor Thunder W	60 : 81	Knox W
2022.08.14	Knox W	64 : 58	Keilor Thunder W