Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Nunawading WHOME · -

69 : 872023.04.02 · 종료

Mt. Gambier WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.7%

VALUE EDGE+59.7%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

Nunawading WAnalysis MetricsMt. Gambier W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-3.83 Point MarginHigher is better +10.42

152.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.75

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.5 / 15

Prediction separation8.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Nunawading W

L · 68-79L · 91-73W · 72-56L · 72-69W · 49-67

Mt. Gambier W

W · 74-78L · 77-71L · 70-64L · 54-69L · 68-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.02	Nunawading W	69 : 87	Mt. Gambier W
2022.07.16	Mt. Gambier W	74 : 73	Nunawading W
2022.06.05	Nunawading W	61 : 67	Mt. Gambier W
2021.07.04	Nunawading W	92 : 66	Mt. Gambier W