Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Kilsyth WHOME · -
60 : 512023.04.01 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME21.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+78.8%
VALUE EDGE+78.8%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEA
Kilsyth WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-1.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
139.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth W
L · 81-96W · 62-84W · 72-69L · 105-93L · 77-91
Geelong W
L · 65-77W · 68-72W · 65-72L · 49-67L · 72-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.01 | Kilsyth W | 60 : 51 | Geelong W |
| 2022.07.10 | Kilsyth W | 73 : 95 | Geelong W |
| 2019.08.17 | Geelong W | 76 : 86 | Kilsyth W |
| 2019.04.27 | Geelong W | 83 : 72 | Kilsyth W |
| 2017.08.26 | Kilsyth W | 43 : 62 | Geelong W |
| 2017.08.12 | Kilsyth W | 74 : 66 | Geelong W |
| 2017.07.09 | Geelong W | 75 : 71 | Kilsyth W |
| 2017.04.08 | Kilsyth W | 79 : 64 | Geelong W |
| 2016.08.06 | Geelong W | 66 : 85 | Kilsyth W |
| 2015.08.14 | Geelong W | 66 : 68 | Kilsyth W |