Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Ballarat WHOME · -
79 : 542023.04.01 · 종료
Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME85.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+85.9%
VALUE EDGE+85.9%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
Ballarat WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-19.67
153.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.83
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat W
L · 87-96W · 54-69W · 59-85W · 89-68L · 70-59
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 59-72L · 72-56L · 59-85L · 100-52L · 57-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.04 | Melbourne Tigers W | 68 : 75 | Ballarat W |
| 2023.04.01 | Ballarat W | 79 : 54 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2022.08.07 | Melbourne Tigers W | 59 : 85 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.05.21 | Ballarat W | 82 : 70 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2021.06.27 | Melbourne Tigers W | 68 : 80 | Ballarat W |
| 2019.07.20 | Ballarat W | 84 : 79 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2017.05.20 | Melbourne Tigers W | 95 : 76 | Ballarat W |
| 2017.04.22 | Ballarat W | 81 : 93 | Melbourne Tigers W |