Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · NBL1 South Women - Quarter-finals
Nunawading WHOME · -
68 : 792022.08.27 · 종료
Launceston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.4%
VALUE EDGE+59.4%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEB
Nunawading WAnalysis MetricsLaunceston W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-3.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.75
152.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation8.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nunawading W
L · 91-73W · 72-56L · 72-69W · 49-67W · 59-76
Launceston W
W · 65-77W · 67-76L · 76-87L · 76-96W · 72-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.24 | Launceston W | 72 : 89 | Nunawading W |
| 2022.08.27 | Nunawading W | 68 : 79 | Launceston W |
| 2022.06.26 | Nunawading W | 105 : 91 | Launceston W |
| 2019.04.06 | Launceston W | 85 : 87 | Nunawading W |
| 2017.05.27 | Launceston W | 81 : 91 | Nunawading W |
| 2016.08.13 | Launceston W | 84 : 69 | Nunawading W |
| 2015.08.01 | Nunawading W | 60 : 63 | Launceston W |