Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 16
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
68 : 722022.08.14 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.0%
VALUE EDGE+71.0%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 91-65W · 85-60W · 105-93L · 70-59W · 82-98
Geelong W
W · 65-72L · 49-67L · 72-73W · 49-87L · 69-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.22 | Casey Cavaliers W | 61 : 90 | Geelong W |
| 2022.08.14 | Casey Cavaliers W | 68 : 72 | Geelong W |