Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 16

Waverley WHOME · -
70 : 642022.08.14 · 종료
Mt. Gambier WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.2%
VALUE EDGE+58.2%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEB
Waverley WAnalysis MetricsMt. Gambier W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+14.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.42
154.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.75
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation7.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Waverley W
W · 53-85L · 55-91W · 76-96W · 57-73W · 70-59
Mt. Gambier W
L · 54-69L · 68-75W · 72-73L · 81-78W · 76-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.15 | Waverley W | 71 : 77 | Mt. Gambier W |
| 2023.05.12 | Mt. Gambier W | 97 : 81 | Waverley W |
| 2022.08.14 | Waverley W | 70 : 64 | Mt. Gambier W |