Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 16
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
59 : 722022.08.14 · 종료
Frankston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.1%
VALUE EDGE+57.1%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsFrankston W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-19.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.17
143.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.50
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.5 / 15
Prediction separation6.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 72-56L · 59-85L · 100-52L · 57-76L · 94-42
Frankston W
W · 72-69L · 62-84L · 95-65L · 50-89L · 77-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.25 | Melbourne Tigers W | 75 : 88 | Frankston W |
| 2022.08.14 | Melbourne Tigers W | 59 : 72 | Frankston W |
| 2019.07.06 | Frankston W | 75 : 69 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2019.04.07 | Melbourne Tigers W | 77 : 71 | Frankston W |
| 2017.07.01 | Melbourne Tigers W | 79 : 69 | Frankston W |
| 2017.05.07 | Frankston W | 89 : 59 | Melbourne Tigers W |