Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 16
Keilor Thunder WHOME · -
91 : 652022.08.13 · 종료
Casey Cavaliers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.2%
VALUE EDGE+55.2%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-7.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.50
143.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.67
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder W
L · 65-72L · 92-82W · 76-46W · 77-63L · 80-67
Casey Cavaliers W
W · 85-60W · 105-93L · 70-59W · 82-98L · 100-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.16 | Casey Cavaliers W | 77 : 84 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.08.13 | Keilor Thunder W | 91 : 65 | Casey Cavaliers W |