Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Women Australia · 16

Mt. Gambier WHOME · -

54 : 692022.08.12 · 종료

Ballarat WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +57.9%

VALUE EDGE+57.9%

FAIR ODDS1.73

GRADEA

Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+10.42 Point MarginHigher is better -10.42

161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.75

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.3 / 15

Prediction separation6.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

57.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt. Gambier W

L · 68-75W · 72-73L · 81-78W · 76-62W · 74-73

Ballarat W

W · 59-85W · 89-68L · 70-59L · 72-89W · 83-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.06.18	Ballarat W	65 : 107	Mt. Gambier W
2022.08.12	Mt. Gambier W	54 : 69	Ballarat W
2021.05.22	Mt. Gambier W	60 : 48	Ballarat W