Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 15
Mt. Gambier WHOME · -
68 : 752022.08.06 · 종료
Knox WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.2%
VALUE EDGE+54.2%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsKnox W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
161.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.08
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation3.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt. Gambier W
W · 72-73L · 81-78W · 76-62W · 74-73L · 85-78
Knox W
W · 94-42W · 50-89W · 33-50L · 92-50L · 75-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | Mt. Gambier W | 88 : 80 | Knox W |
| 2022.08.06 | Mt. Gambier W | 68 : 75 | Knox W |
| 2021.05.15 | Mt. Gambier W | 40 : 69 | Knox W |