Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia · 15

Keilor Thunder WHOME · -

65 : 722022.08.06 · 종료

Geelong WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY66.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +66.3%

VALUE EDGE+66.3%

FAIR ODDS1.51

GRADEA

Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

-7.92 Point MarginHigher is better +8.50

143.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.50

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.3 / 15

Prediction separation14.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

33.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

66.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Keilor Thunder W

L · 92-82W · 76-46W · 77-63L · 80-67W · 73-85

Geelong W

L · 49-67L · 72-73W · 49-87L · 69-73W · 62-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.15	Geelong W	76 : 72	Keilor Thunder W
2023.06.04	Keilor Thunder W	66 : 77	Geelong W
2022.08.06	Keilor Thunder W	65 : 72	Geelong W
2022.05.07	Geelong W	101 : 87	Keilor Thunder W