Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 15
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
85 : 602022.08.06 · 종료
Dandenong Rangers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.1%
VALUE EDGE+66.1%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsDandenong Rangers W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.58
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.92
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
W · 105-93L · 70-59W · 82-98L · 100-69L · 74-77
Dandenong Rangers W
W · 57-76W · 79-101L · 58-70L · 62-89L · 80-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.15 | Casey Cavaliers W | 76 : 87 | Dandenong Rangers W |
| 2023.04.01 | Dandenong Rangers W | 77 : 67 | Casey Cavaliers W |
| 2022.08.06 | Casey Cavaliers W | 85 : 60 | Dandenong Rangers W |
| 2022.04.23 | Dandenong Rangers W | 71 : 86 | Casey Cavaliers W |