Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia · 14

Geelong WHOME · -

72 : 732022.07.31 · 종료

Mt. Gambier WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.1%

VALUE EDGE+61.1%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEB

Geelong WAnalysis MetricsMt. Gambier W

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better +10.42

152.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.75

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.9 / 15

Prediction separation9.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Geelong W

W · 49-87L · 69-73W · 62-89W · 73-95W · 109-90

Mt. Gambier W

L · 81-78W · 76-62W · 74-73L · 85-78W · 74-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.21	Mt. Gambier W	76 : 86	Geelong W
2023.06.23	Mt. Gambier W	94 : 59	Geelong W
2023.05.06	Geelong W	85 : 74	Mt. Gambier W
2022.07.31	Geelong W	72 : 73	Mt. Gambier W
2021.07.09	Geelong W	80 : 75	Mt. Gambier W