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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia · 14
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
57 : 762022.07.31 · 종료
Dandenong Rangers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +56.9%
VALUE EDGE+56.9%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsDandenong Rangers W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-19.67 Point MarginHigher is better -1.58
143.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.92
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation5.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
43.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
56.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 94-42L · 49-87L · 71-50L · 73-85W · 60-50
Dandenong Rangers W
W · 79-101L · 58-70L · 62-89L · 80-86L · 91-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.22Dandenong Rangers W80 : 72Melbourne Tigers W
2022.07.31Melbourne Tigers W57 : 76Dandenong Rangers W
2021.05.16Melbourne Tigers W77 : 70Dandenong Rangers W