Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia · 14

Knox WHOME · -

94 : 422022.07.30 · 종료

Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME85.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY14.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +85.6%

VALUE EDGE+85.6%

FAIR ODDS1.17

GRADEA

Knox WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

-5.08 Point MarginHigher is better -19.67

148.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.83

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

85.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

14.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Knox W

W · 50-89W · 33-50L · 92-50L · 75-76W · 42-80

Melbourne Tigers W

L · 49-87L · 71-50L · 73-85W · 60-50L · 71-47

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.14	Melbourne Tigers W	77 : 74	Knox W
2022.07.30	Knox W	94 : 42	Melbourne Tigers W
2021.07.31	Knox W	72 : 78	Melbourne Tigers W
2019.05.26	Melbourne Tigers W	74 : 86	Knox W
2019.04.14	Knox W	104 : 72	Melbourne Tigers W