Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia · 13

Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -

49 : 872022.07.24 · 종료

Geelong WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME20.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY79.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 78.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +79.7%

VALUE EDGE+79.7%

FAIR ODDS1.25

GRADES

Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

-19.67 Point MarginHigher is better +8.50

143.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.50

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement15.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

20.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

79.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Melbourne Tigers W

L · 71-50L · 73-85W · 60-50L · 71-47L · 71-59

Geelong W

L · 69-73W · 62-89W · 73-95W · 109-90W · 72-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.06.30	Geelong W	84 : 56	Melbourne Tigers W
2022.07.24	Melbourne Tigers W	49 : 87	Geelong W
2021.05.15	Geelong W	90 : 82	Melbourne Tigers W
2019.05.18	Melbourne Tigers W	74 : 92	Geelong W
2017.04.01	Melbourne Tigers W	62 : 90	Geelong W