Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Women Australia · 13

Mt. Gambier WHOME · -

76 : 622022.07.23 · 종료

Launceston WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY48.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +51.2%

VALUE EDGE+51.2%

FAIR ODDS1.95

GRADEA

Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsLaunceston W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+10.42 Point MarginHigher is better -3.75

161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 150.58

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.6 / 15

Prediction separation1.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

51.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

48.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt. Gambier W

W · 74-73L · 85-78W · 74-99W · 75-73W · 56-47

Launceston W

W · 87-73W · 92-50L · 92-59W · 78-82W · 91-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.08	Launceston W	74 : 81	Mt. Gambier W
2022.07.23	Mt. Gambier W	76 : 62	Launceston W
2021.05.29	Launceston W	82 : 79	Mt. Gambier W