Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 13
Geelong WHOME · -
69 : 732022.07.23 · 종료
Hobart Chargers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME85.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+85.9%
VALUE EDGE+85.9%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+8.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.75
152.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.92
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
W · 62-89W · 73-95W · 109-90W · 72-87L · 70-92
Hobart Chargers W
L · 33-50W · 93-66W · 66-67L · 102-59W · 77-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.12 | Hobart Chargers W | 73 : 81 | Geelong W |
| 2022.07.23 | Geelong W | 69 : 73 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2021.07.02 | Hobart Chargers W | 69 : 98 | Geelong W |
| 2017.06.30 | Hobart Chargers W | 97 : 92 | Geelong W |
| 2016.07.22 | Hobart Chargers W | 57 : 77 | Geelong W |
| 2016.05.14 | Geelong W | 79 : 50 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2015.04.17 | Hobart Chargers W | 80 : 75 | Geelong W |