Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 12
Keilor Thunder WHOME · -
77 : 632022.07.17 · 종료
Frankston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.9%
VALUE EDGE+57.9%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEB
Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsFrankston W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-7.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.17
143.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.50
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder W
L · 80-67W · 73-85L · 89-79W · 85-80W · 91-76
Frankston W
L · 83-77L · 66-67L · 65-63L · 63-66L · 102-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | Frankston W | 79 : 61 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.07.17 | Keilor Thunder W | 77 : 63 | Frankston W |