Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 12
Mt. Gambier WHOME · -
74 : 732022.07.16 · 종료
Nunawading WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.1%
VALUE EDGE+56.1%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsNunawading W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.83
161.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.17
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation5.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt. Gambier W
L · 85-78W · 74-99W · 75-73W · 56-47L · 56-70
Nunawading W
W · 102-59W · 63-66W · 105-91W · 66-82L · 70-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.02 | Nunawading W | 69 : 87 | Mt. Gambier W |
| 2022.07.16 | Mt. Gambier W | 74 : 73 | Nunawading W |
| 2022.06.05 | Nunawading W | 61 : 67 | Mt. Gambier W |
| 2021.07.04 | Nunawading W | 92 : 66 | Mt. Gambier W |