Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 12
Dandenong Rangers WHOME · -
62 : 892022.07.16 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME15.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY84.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 82.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+84.2%
VALUE EDGE+84.2%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEB
Dandenong Rangers WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-1.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
155.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong Rangers W
L · 80-86L · 91-65L · 77-64L · 42-80L · 48-93
Geelong W
W · 73-95W · 109-90W · 72-87L · 70-92L · 73-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.17 | Geelong W | 92 : 84 | Dandenong Rangers W |
| 2022.07.16 | Dandenong Rangers W | 62 : 89 | Geelong W |