Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 12
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
74 : 772022.07.16 · 종료
Ringwood WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.5%
VALUE EDGE+63.5%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsRingwood W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.67
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.33
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation11.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
W · 65-63W · 71-85L · 78-96L · 65-77W · 71-85
Ringwood W
W · 92-59W · 85-55W · 71-47L · 57-54W · 74-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.07 | Ringwood W | 80 : 73 | Casey Cavaliers W |
| 2022.07.16 | Casey Cavaliers W | 74 : 77 | Ringwood W |