Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 11
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
73 : 852022.07.10 · 종료
Keilor Thunder WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.1%
VALUE EDGE+62.1%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-19.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.92
143.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.75
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
W · 60-50L · 71-47L · 71-59L · 65-79W · 72-78
Keilor Thunder W
L · 89-79W · 85-80W · 91-76L · 74-61L · 72-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.15 | Keilor Thunder W | 52 : 81 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2022.07.10 | Melbourne Tigers W | 73 : 85 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.06.04 | Keilor Thunder W | 72 : 78 | Melbourne Tigers W |