Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 11
Ballarat WHOME · -
89 : 792022.07.09 · 종료
Keilor Thunder WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.8%
VALUE EDGE+57.8%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Ballarat WAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.92
153.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.75
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat W
W · 57-54W · 48-93W · 87-63L · 77-72L · 85-75
Keilor Thunder W
W · 85-80W · 91-76L · 74-61L · 72-78W · 77-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.14 | Keilor Thunder W | 64 : 54 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.07.09 | Ballarat W | 89 : 79 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.05.28 | Keilor Thunder W | 85 : 75 | Ballarat W |