Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia · 11

Geelong WHOME · -

109 : 902022.07.09 · 종료

Waverley WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY25.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +74.8%

VALUE EDGE+74.8%

FAIR ODDS1.34

GRADEA

Geelong WAnalysis MetricsWaverley W

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better +14.92

152.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.08

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

74.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

25.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Geelong W

W · 72-87L · 70-92L · 73-77W · 66-94W · 77-72

Waverley W

L · 85-55W · 80-89W · 70-84W · 66-64L · 77-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.08.05	Geelong W	74 : 85	Waverley W
2022.07.09	Geelong W	109 : 90	Waverley W
2021.05.09	Waverley W	64 : 61	Geelong W
2021.05.01	Geelong W	92 : 49	Waverley W
2019.05.05	Waverley W	54 : 83	Geelong W