Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 10
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
60 : 502022.07.03 · 종료
Diamond Valley WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.4%
VALUE EDGE+75.4%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-19.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.08
143.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.42
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
3.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 71-47L · 71-59L · 65-79W · 72-78L · 74-43
Diamond Valley W
L · 71-85L · 66-82L · 66-94L · 70-41L · 75-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.21 | Melbourne Tigers W | 61 : 81 | Diamond Valley W |
| 2022.07.03 | Melbourne Tigers W | 60 : 50 | Diamond Valley W |
| 2021.05.01 | Diamond Valley W | 48 : 93 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2019.05.11 | Melbourne Tigers W | 73 : 51 | Diamond Valley W |