Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 10
Mt. Gambier WHOME · -
75 : 732022.07.02 · 종료
Eltham WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.0%
VALUE EDGE+58.0%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsEltham W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.58
161.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.25
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt. Gambier W
W · 56-47L · 56-70W · 61-67W · 65-81W · 74-43
Eltham W
W · 78-96L · 72-96W · 108-75W · 76-73L · 96-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.16 | Eltham W | 70 : 92 | Mt. Gambier W |
| 2022.07.02 | Mt. Gambier W | 75 : 73 | Eltham W |